Russia’s growing influence in Africa amid shifting alliances in a multipolar world

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Most African political leaders are now reacting to post-Soviet politics and emerging economic possibilities in Russia. With emerging multi-polarism, some leaders are already adapting to the fast-changing situation and adjusting policies that will support their development goals and effectively work on their election pledges. Despite internal development hurdles, the majority are shifting from Western and European alliances, looking forward to cooperating with countries in the Global South.

Professor Vladimir Shubin, Institute for African Studies under the Russian Academy of Sciences, has raised some serious issues in Russian-African relations that need careful consideration. In the first place, inside Africa there is clear evidence that most of the political leaders are now reacting to post-Soviet politics and emerging economic possibilities in Russia. President Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin authorities have also moved progressively with a new phase in consolidating political ties at the state level with Africa. In order to maintain this relationship, African countries have to pay keen attention to and take significant steps in promoting their achievements and highlighting their most significant development needs.

Professor Shubin’s interview on political relations between Russia and Africa, as well as economic cooperation, will attract more and more academic discussions. Such scholarly contributions, in essence, help deepen understanding of the problems that impede building a solid relationship or partnership with Russia. In the past, the emphasis was strongly put on political ideology, but now that has largely changed – and it’s obvious that increased economic cooperation is the main determining factor, especially in the fields of mining, transportation, infrastructure construction, industry, agriculture and tourism.

These have to be placed, step by step, on a new basis of mutual interests. What is abundantly clear is how to stimulate African governments into exploring investment opportunities in Russia, and Russian investors into Africa, within some framework of mutual cooperation. It is also worth saying that Russia has played roles in Africa, and Africans have to work toward good governance, adopt good development strategies and seek improved welfare for their populations. Equally interesting is that Asian states are moving faster than Africa, and consequently the development gap is widening.

As correctly pointed out by Professor Vladimir Shubin in this wide-ranging interview with Kestér Kenn Klomegâh, certain developments and approaches however provide a basis for criticism and pessimistic views as to what extent these ideas can be realised for Africa. The world continues watching developments. Interview excerpts follow below:

In the cold war era, Africa was an ideological playing field for the United States and the then-Soviet Union; but all that changed after the Soviet collapse. What are your comments relating to the relationship between Russia and Africa?

Indeed, the style of work and its intensity are quite different in the case of the first president Boris Yeltsin and his successor Vladimir Putin. I would not attribute reasons for the marked changes just to personalities. One should not look at Russia today as something ‘monolithic’, tightly directed from the Kremlin – as the USSR used to be at one stage. There are different political forces competing for power in the country, or at least for influence over it. These forces represent interests of various diverse political and social groups which also need to be carefully analysed within a particular context.

This is true for foreign policy as well, even if according to ‘Yeltsin’s Constitution’ of 1993, the president determines main foreign policy directions. In respect to Africa, there are significant forces in Russia which stand for further development of bilateral relations and stronger economic cooperation. They include not only traditional friends of Africa on the left side of the political spectrum, but also take in Russian industrialists who are interested in exporting their manufactured goods to African countries or exploring its mineral resources.

Does the Kremlin have an agenda for Africa? How would you defend the affirmative position, citing examples?

That is quite interesting. I have never heard about a special Moscow ‘agenda for Africa’, but one should proceed from the ‘Concept of Foreign Policy of the Russian Federation’ approved by Putin soon after his election to the post. Africa occupies a decent, albeit modest, place. Putin several times spoke about Russia’s involvement in African affairs. He said: “As to Russia’s traditional links with the African continent, we’ve got very good relations. We subtly feel all the problems of the African continent…I must say Russia’s contribution is very noticeable in dealing with the problems of Africa”.

Among other things related to writing-off part of African countries’ debts, Russia makes very great contributions: we take part in humanitarian programmes and, in particular, health programmes. We grant African countries considerable amounts of scholarships for studying at higher educational institutions in Russia, and we plan to carry on this programme in the future. Russia’s assistance to African countries is multi-pronged, and we are convinced that this activity ultimately meets the Russian Federation’s national interests.

What would you like to suggest if you were to advise the Kremlin administration’s policy approach toward African countries? And, what are your opinions about the future of Russian-African relations?

Africa has great potential for our bilateral relationships. Truly and firstly, in the political sphere there are hardly any sharp controversies between Russia and African countries. Agreed, relations in other spheres – especially in economic cooperation, are lagging behind. Thus, the bilateral trade is many times less than that of China, India and many foreign countries with Africa.

I am not sure the ‘Kremlin administrators’ often ask for advice from the academic community. But some steps are evidently overdue, such as Putin’s working visit to Africa south of the Sahara. Russian banks are taking initial steps to operate in Africa, while a lack of credit facilities has been the major obstacle to successful development of economic ties. However, Russia needs genuine and objective information about modern Africa; and here, both state and private media linger a lot.

Has Russia identified its role in any African regional organisation’s programme aimed toward the development goals of Africa?

One should always remember that Moscow feels problems of the African continent, perhaps better than some other ‘developed countries’ – both because of its historical cooperation with African countries and because it often faces similar development problems. However, with these trends, I am not sure that African diplomacy pays enough attention to Russia. Moreover, I think that a considerably good part of it is under the influence of Western propaganda – which does it best to portray Moscow as the backyard of Europe. On the other hand, Moscow’s capacity to carry out practical steps in cooperation with African countries is limited by its own internal economic problems

Nevertheless, we can mention Russia’s continuous active involvement, practically, in all UN peace-keeping missions in Africa; Russia’s significant contributions to the international fund on combatting, for instance, tuberculosis, malaria and other tropical diseases as Russia’s indication of interest in Africa. But we also want African leaders to show, with clarity, their interest in Russia. It should not be just one-way traffic.

In your critical assessment, what must African leaders be seen doing if they really want to get out of their multiple problems and get integrated into the global community practically?

It is not for a Russian academic to give any advice to African governments. However, some things look obvious. Africa can play an important and fair role in the ‘globalising world’ only if the continent really ‘globalises’ itself: first, by effectively strengthening its continental and regional cooperation to be able to speak in one voice. All true friends of Africa welcomed the African Union’s creation, but it remains to be seen how practically effective this organisation will be.

Unfortunately, some recent events and developments and the African Union’s political approach do not allow us to be too optimistic. There is a lot of pessimism about how far the African Union idea can go, and what it can achieve for the continent. This depends largely on the political attitudes of the people themselves. The funniest thing is that whenever there are problems in Africa, the leaders fly to Europe in search of assistance.

Do the African politicians realise that they must help Africa to develop? For example, even after establishment of the African Union, there were appeals for outside forces to solve intra-African conflicts. Even more disturbing is a lack of consistency in the approach to the most crucial international issues. Africans have to acknowledge the fact that the world has progressively changed, and they must be seen to be changing with a similar positive pace. It’s about time Africans take development issues seriously, and work progressively toward establishing good governance while drastically seeking improvement in the welfare for its large, impoverished population.

Relations are supposed to be a two-way road (street). Do you think some African political leaders are not up to expectations in their relations with Russia? What should they be seen doing in order to raise friendly ties with Russia?

I cannot say that African leaders do their best in developing bilateral relations. Truly and passionately, they come to Russia more often than ten years ago – but a lot still has to be done. Perhaps one of the reasons why some African leaders have ‘written-off’ Russia is their lack of information about Russia – or rather, the distorted information they have received from Western media coverage of Russia. Moreover, some foreign journalists writing from here for African media cause damage to bilateral relations.

Now and then, speaking to African diplomats in Moscow I often joke: “Some of you are accredited not to Russia, but to the African diplomatic corps in Moscow”. Definitely, it is a bitter joke, but it reflects the reality. While some of the embassies are actively promoting their countries and winning friends for Africa, others are hardly visible – even for African scholars here.

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